The Baltimore Orioles and Minnesota Twins are in two very different spots this season, but both teams would be in the playoffs if the season ended today.
Minnesota is under .500 but in first place in the dreadful AL Central while the Orioles are 16 games over .500 and in second place in the AL East.
That’s baseball, right?
Saturday’s afternoon tilt features two solid young pitchers in Minnesota’s Bailey Ober (4-4, 2.97 ERA) and Baltimore’s Kyle Bradish (4-3, 3.75 ERA).
Let’s dive into the odds and my best bet for this matchup:
Twins vs. Orioles odds, run line and total
Twins vs. Orioles prediction and pick
This should be a decent pitching matchup between Ober and Bradish, and I like both bullpens as well, so I think this lines up nicely for an UNDER bet.
Ober comes into this game with just one start all season where he’s allowed four earned runs or more, and he’s kept his ERA below 3.00 and his FIP at just 3.61.
While the Orioles are 11th in the league in OPS this season, seven of Ober’s last 10 starts he’s thrown a minimum of six innings, which gives his a great floor to hand things over toe Minnesota’s bullpen – which ranks fourth in MLB in ERA.
On the O’s side of things, Bradish has really pitched well over the last two months after a little bit of a slow start.
The right-hander has a 3.14 ERA over his last 10 starts, and he’s been striking out batters at a decent clip (53 in his last 57.1 innings of work).
That’s important since the Twins rank dead last in the league in strikeouts per game. If Bradish can get the punchout pitch going, the Twins are extremely susceptible to being set down.
With Baltimore ranking 10th in bullpen ERA this season, I see a ton of value in the UNDER at even money this afternoon.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.