Reds vs. Orioles prediction and odds for Tuesday, June 27 (Home Run Derby at Camden)

Baltimore Orioles right fielder Anthony Santander (25)
Baltimore Orioles right fielder Anthony Santander (25) / Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports

Game 2 between the Cincinnati Reds and Baltimore Orioles will feature two young pitchers going head-to-head. Andrew Abbott has been incredible for the Reds since making his MLB debut on June 5 and will look to keep that rolling against the Orioles who are still second place in the AL East standings. Abbott will be opposed by Tyler Wells who is 6-3 with a 3.22 ERA in 14 starts with one bullpen appearance this year.

The Reds have struggled against real top tier contenders even since their turnaround and Vegas expects that to continue. The Orioles are favorites at Camden Yards for Game 2, so let’s get into the odds.

Reds vs. Orioles odds, run line and total

Reds vs. Orioles prediction and pick

Abbott didn’t allow a single run in his first three starts, but surrendered three earned runs last time out. The Rockies, who are very bad against left-handed pitchers like Abbott, took him for three runs on four hits with three home runs, but Abbott did have 10 strikeouts with no walks. His FIP is 4.20 after that start and the three home runs allowed is a big concern. Abbott had nine walks in his first three starts, so it’s like the next time that a hitter takes him deep it won’t be another solo shot. 

The Orioles are going to boast the best lineup that Abbott has faced in his very short career and the O’s with Anthony Santander have hit lefties very well this season. Santander specifically has been on a tear lately and that makes me like Baltimore more and more. However, they could struggle to get the pitching needed to slam the door shut on Cincinnati’s talented young offense. 

Tyler Wells has a FIP of 4.63 this year which is well over a run higher than his ERA. Wells has given up two home runs in each of his last two starts bringing his total to 18 on the year. That’s unsustainable and his ERA will not be under four for long. In Game 2 balls will be flying out of Camden Yards earlier and often, so I love the over. 

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change