In the AL East, the Rays were the team that got off to a blistering start, but right now it’s the Baltimore Orioles that are on fire. The O’s beat the Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of this three-game series last night to extend their win streak to seven games. Baltimore is 15-7, which is still 4.5 games behind Tampa Bay, but they’re gaining steam as they gun for the top spot in the AL East. The Red Sox are 12-12 which has them in the basement of the toughest division in the sport.
Today, the Orioles will try to keep it going with Kyle Bradish on the mound against Corey Kluber, making the start for the Red Sox. Bradish is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his two starts this year, while Kluber is 0-4 with an 8.50 ERA in four outings.
The Orioles are home favorites to win their eighth straight, so let’s get into the odds.
Red Sox vs. Orioles odds, run line and total
Red Sox vs. Orioles prediction and pick
Kyle Bradish has only really made one start this season, his first outing only lasted five outs on April 3, before an injury that kept him out until April 19th. On April 19th, however, he went six strong innings, didn’t allow a run, gave up five hits and one walk, but did it with six strikeouts. He looks like he could be a reliable starter for the Orioles in his second season, as long as he can stay healthy.
The Red Sox do not have a reliable starting pitcher in Corey Kluber, though he’s a former Cy Young Award winner, those days are long gone. Kluber has taken the loss in all four of his starts and while wins and losses aren’t really a pitcher stat, he’s deserved three of the four. He’s a four pitch pitcher, and three of them just aren’t working. They’re the two pitches he needs to rely on the most, his cutter and his sinker. He throws the cutter 29.4% of the time, the most of any pitch in his repertoire and he’s allowing a .480 slugging percentage, but a .648 expected slugging. His sinker, which he utilizes 25.2% of the time, is even worse with a .778 slugging percentage on that pitch.
If Kluber can’t establish his cutter or his sinker, he can’t be an effective pitcher. I think he gets roughed up again and the Orioles cruise to win No. 8 in this streak.
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change