Orioles vs. Royals prediction and odds for Wednesday, May 3 (Keep fading Kansas City)

Baltimore Orioles first baseman Ryan Mountcastle (6).
Baltimore Orioles first baseman Ryan Mountcastle (6). / Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Baltimore Orioles are looking to take a second straight game from the Kansas City Royals on Wednesday night. 

Baltimore won 11-7 on Tuesday, dominating a K.C. team that can’t seem to win at home this season. At Kauffman Stadium. The Royals are a terrible 1-13 straight up this season. 

Zack Greinke (0-4, 6.10 ERA) is looking for his first win of the season for the Royals against the Orioles’ Kyle Gibson (4-0, 3.93 ERA). 

Baltimore is once again favored on the road, and the team is looking to win its fourth straight to hold on to the No. 2 spot in the AL East. 

Let’s examine the odds and my best bet for this matchup: 

Orioles vs. Royals odds, run line and total

Orioles vs. Royals prediction and pick

It’s pretty simple to avoid betting on the Royals right now, who only have seven wins on the season. 

A former Cy Young Award winner, Greinke is at the tail end of his career, and he’s been a poor bet in 2023. 

Greinke has allowed four or more earned runs in three straight starts, pushing his ERA to 6.10 and his Fielding Independent Pitching to 5.46. That’s simply not going to cut it against a Baltimore team that ranks eighth in MLB in OPS this season.

As for Gibson, he’s been fairly consistent this season. He has two starts with four earned runs allowed, but the O’s have gone 5-1 straight up when he’s been on the mound. 

He has the advantage over Greinke and the weak Royals offense (29th in OPS, 28th in runs scored) on Wednesday night. 

Fade the Royals at home until they start showing some life.  

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.