Orioles vs. Rays prediction and odds for Sunday, July 23

The Orioles run to the top of the AL East is complete as the team enters Sunday's matchup against the Rays one game ahead in the division.

Baltimore will start Tyler Wells on Sunday in hopes of furthering its lead in the division against Taj Bradley of the Rays. Bradley has a ton of upside as a strikeout-driven pitcher, but it hasn't translated to shutdown outings as he has an ERA of 5.29.

Can Baltimore pick up another win? Let's check out the odds and find out.

Orioles vs. Rays odds, run line and total

Orioles vs. Rays prediction and pick

The Rays had a historic start to the season, but this team is far from that now that we are in late July. Over the last 30 days, the team is 28th in batting average over the last 30 days, per MLB.com, and I don't expect it to get better against the Orioles' starter Tyler Wells.

Wells has the lowest WHIP (walks, hits per inning pitched) in all of the American League and has a 3.54 ERA to go with it. While Bradley has a ton of upside in the future, Wells has outpaced his competition on the mound. The Rays rookie has struck out nearly 12 batters per nine innings but hasn't been able to limit hard contact, allowing nearly two home runs per nine.

The Orioles are a top 10 lineup in on-base percentage and wRC+, and check in right around the big league average over the last 30 days in batting average and OPS.

Baltimore is better right now, take advantage of the underdog price.