Orioles vs. Phillies prediction and odds for Wednesday, July 26 (Trust Bradish on the road)

After two run score games this series, who will take home the series in Wednesday's rubber match?
Jul 21, 2023; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish (39)
Jul 21, 2023; St. Petersburg, Florida, USA; Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish (39) / Mike Watters-USA TODAY Sports

After a pair of nail biters, the Baltimore Orioles look to complete another series win against a playoff hopeful in the Philadelphia Phillies.

Kyle Bradish takes the mound on Wednesday, trying to secure a series win for the Orioles, and will match up against Ranger Suarez, who is still looking to find his All-Star form from a year ago. How should we handicap this series finale that has featured hotly contested matchups?

Here are the odds:

Orioles vs. Phillies odds, run line and total

Orioles vs. Phillies prediction and pick

The Orioles' lineup is dangerous against any type of pitcher, but very scary against lefties, 11th in OPS and are disciplined, drawing the fourth most walks against southpaws. That's an issue for Suarez, who is showing terrible control so far this season.

He is handing out more than three walks per nine innings and has posted a 5.73 ERA in two starts since the All-Star break.

Lastly, Suarez has serious struggles at Citizen's Bank Park, posting a 5.64 ERA at home this season in six starts, far worse than his 2.97 ERA in seven starts on the road.

Baltimore is in line to put up runs, and I like the chances for Bradish to limit Philadelphia's offense and secure a win.

He is pitching at his best right now, allowing only three earned runs in his last four starts which has spanned over 25 innings.

He is limiting walks and hard contact more due to better control and a slightly higher groundball rate relative last season, which makes me bullish that he can show up against a Phillies team that is struggling a bit at the dish, 23rd in OPS over the last 15 days, per MLB.com.

The O's are on a roll, bet them to get the series win.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.