Angels vs. Orioles prediction and odds for Wednesday, May 17

May 12, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish (39) throws
May 12, 2023; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Baltimore Orioles starting pitcher Kyle Bradish (39) throws / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports

The Orioles and Angels continue a four game series on Wednesday after splitting the first two games.

Baltimore will send out Kyle Bradish to shut down AL MVP candidate Shohei Ohtani and Mike Trout while the Angels will hope that Griffin Canning can find his footing on the road, but he has a stiff test against one of the most complete lineups in baseball.

Here are the odds for this AL showdown and my favorite bet on the total of this one:

Angels vs. Orioles odds, run line and total

Angels vs. Orioles prediction and pick

I'm going to side with the under despite the first two games going into double digits.

There's a case to be made that Canning's numbers are a bit inflated after his most recent starts against the Cardinals in Astros in which he allowed 10 earned runs across nearly nine innings of work. However, prior to that he allowed seven total runs across more than 15 innings on the mound.

I'm going to aim for something in between from Canning, who will have the benefit of pitching with the wind blowing in at Camden Yards at nearly 10 miles per hour. If the ball is going to stay in the yard I believe that Canning, who has struggled with limiting home runs this season, can get on track.

He's also backed up by a top five bullpen in terms of ERA this season, which helps the cause in a big way if he only goes his typical five innings or so.

On the other side, I'm also bullish on Bradish putting together a strong start. He is fresh off consecutive shutout outings in which he has limited his walks to just one per each start. LA has a loaded lineup, but Bradish has been on point all season outside of one start in which he allowed seven runs. Past that, he has allowed six runs in four starts.

Give me the under with the wind helping out for both starters.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.