4 pending free agents the Orioles need to target this offseason
The Orioles are going to be a force for the foreseeable future. The only question is who the front office will add this offseason to keep the good times rolling.
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The 2023 season has been a special one for the Baltimore Orioles as fans have finally been able to see the light at the end of the tunnel after so many losing seasons. All of those high draft picks coalesced into one of the most exciting and fun young rosters in all of baseball who currently sport the best record in the American League and lead the brutal AL East by two games.
Only time will tell how the Orioles end up this season, but it is clear this is a team that is set up to compete for a long, long time. However, that does not mean that the roster is perfect and if Baltimore's front office is serious about wanting to take advantage of this competitive window, they need to show it this coming offseason.
Here are 4 pending free agents the Orioles need to target this offseason
To the surprise of exactly no one, the Orioles' primary need going into 2024 is pitching. Frankly, Baltimore currently suffers from the "problem" of having too many bats and not enough places to play them. While signing or trading for a bat before the 2024 season is possible, the focus here is going to be on free agent pitchers given the team's needs at least on paper.
Also, these are going to be realistic free agent targets. Baltimore has expressed some willingness to spend, but a healthy amount of skepticism is probably warranted that the Orioles are all of sudden going to be players to sign a guy like Shohei Ohtani. Would it be sweet? Of course, but most agree that that isn't worth devoting much time to think about.
Let's take a look at 4 pending free agents that the Orioles need to take a hard look at this coming offseason.
Jordan Montgomery
While Baltimore may not end up playing in the deepest end of the free agent pool when it comes to pitchers, this isn't a team that should just be targeting roster filler types for their starting rotation. This is an organization that should be expecting to be viable World Series contenders for the foreseeable future and that means their starting pitching is going to have to match up with the best of the best in a short series. One of the clear names that Baltimore should go after before the 2024 season with that goal in mind is Jordan Montgomery.
Montgomery doesn't have the sexiest stuff and doesn't command headlines, but he just puts up results year in and year out. He is currently working on his third straight season of putting up 2.7 fWAR or better and was one of the jewels of the trade deadline when the Rangers traded for him. He doesn't give up walks, does a lot of things pretty well when it comes to his peripherals, and is basically a mortal lock to put up a mid-3 ERA each season. He won't be cheap to sign as he will likely seek a raise per year from the $10 million he is taking home in 2023, but should still be reasonable enough for Baltimore to be able to get a deal done.
Sonny Gray
It does look a little weird to talk about the Orioles not going after the top of the market and then turning around and suggesting that Baltimore go after one of the top pitchers in the AL this year in Sonny Gray. However, Gray is a unique case where the current state of Orioles matches up surprisingly well with where Sonny is in his career.
Gray has been the second best pitcher in the American League this season by fWAR at 4.0 behind only the Blue Jays' Kevin Gausman. Perennially underrated, Gray is another one of those guys that just does a lot of things well and puts up results every season. He is also another guy that is not likely to come cheap, but he has also surprisingly floated the idea of retiring after this season which doesn't exactly point to a guy wanting a long-term deal. Assuming he does play which still seems likely, the Orioles could give him a shorter deal with some player options that could a appeal to a guy like Gray that may want some career flexibility while also playing on a very competitive team in the short-term.
Keynan Middleton
Turning our attention to the Baltimore bullpen, some real work has to be done here. The Orioles' relievers have been pretty good this season as a group, but that production has been top heavy with Felix Bautista, Yennier Cano, and Danny Coulombe doing a lot of the heavy lifting. With all of those guys coming back in 2024, the Orioles need to add some depth to take some of the burden off of them and one name that they need to at least keep an eye on is Keynan Middleton.
Middleton should appeal to a data-driven organization like Baltimore as his Statcast page has a whole lot to like despite his 3.96 ERA this season. He misses bats, limits hard contact, and has the pitch characteristics to be a really successful reliever. It sure doesn't hurt that getting away from the dumpster fire that is the White Sox organization who traded Middleton at the deadline should allow him to excel. The nice thing about Middleton is that while he won't be a bargain bin contract, he also doesn't carry with him a huge built-in premium as a high leverage reliever with name recognition which should keep him in Baltimore's price range.
Brent Suter
It isn't often that a reliever that plays for the Rockies puts up results worth getting excited about, but that is exactly what Brent Suter has managed to pull off in 2023. After a pretty successful stint with the Brewers from 2016-2022, Suter has put up a 2.43 ERA in 43 appearances with Colorado this season. One way he has been able to pull that off is that he is among the best in the entire league at limiting hard contact even if he doesn't get a ton of swing and miss.
Despite Suter having a lot of things going for him including throwing with his left arm, the fit for the Orioles isn't perfect. Generally we would expect Baltimore to favor guys with higher strikeout rates than Suter sports and his bottom percentile fastball velocity isn't great. However, for a 33 year old guy that shouldn't require a huge or lengthy financial investment, Suter should be worth making an exception for.
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